Performance of global stock markets in Apr 2018 was spectacular. India’s most diversified benchmark equity index – UI 44 Average – had a stellar run in April backed by IT, Financial, Material and Consumer Staple sector.
Apr-18 was a breathtaking month for the Indian stock markets. Last two months of FY17-18 had a lackluster performance backed by new legislation in General Budget and introduction of Long-term Capital Gains Tax (LGCT) among other local and international factors. UI 44 in Apr-18 (see Graph-1) started its journey from around 940 levels on 02 Apr’18 and continued it to reclaim its starting point of 1,000.
Outstanding quarterly performances of TCS, YES Bank and other companies have fueled the rally further in the last week of the month.
A steller rally in the Indian stock market among other markets was supported by the leading factors as assessed below:
- Stable economic growth and robust outlook for the first quarter of FY18-19. Other emerging economies are also witnessing a rise in economic activity, prompting investors to pump in more funds in the emerging markets.
- Obliterating the risk of trade-war sparked by US and China.
- New friendship engagement in the Korean peninsula has also resulted in a continuing rally.
- Retail inflation looks stable due to decline in inflation in food and fuel prices. However, risk of rising commodity prices, including oil prices, are still hovering on the outlook of May-18.
- Monsoon projections published by the Meteorological Department, New Delhi is giving an edge to the market for an impressive economic outlook this year.
Let’s discuss the comparison of performance between the three benchmark indices. UI 44 has outperformed the other leading major benchmark – BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty – last month. The above graph depicts the outstanding performance of UI 44 Average, which is up by more than 8 per cent after a two consecutive months of sharp declines, hitting a lifetime low of 918.96 on 23 Mar’18.